Today the weekend wraps up with a loaded slate of 15 MLB games. You can track the latest odds and betting percentages for every matchup using our VSiN Betting Splits.
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In the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for Sunday’s MLB slate…
1:35 p.m. ET: Oakland Athletics are Washington Nationals (-135, 9.5)
The Nationals (52-66) have taken the first two games of this three-game Interleague series, winning Friday’s opener 8-2 as -120 home favorites and then winning again on Saturday 3-2 as -145 home favorites. In this early afternoon series finale, the Athletics start lefty Ken Waldichuk (2-7, 6.30 ERA) and the Nationals trot out righty Trevor Williams (5-7, 5.00 ERA). This line opened with the Nationals listed as a -125 home favorite and the Athletics a +105 road dog. Pros have laid the short chalk with Washington, steaming the Nats up from -125 to -135. The Nats are receiving 75% of bets and 80% of money, indicating both Pro and Joe support. Interleague favorites off a win are 174-103 (63%) this season with a 4% ROI. Home favorites off a win with steam 5-cents or more are 161-97 (62%) with a 3% ROI. The Nats have the better bats (hitting .259 vs .221) and superior pitching (team ERA 4.86 vs 5.78). Oakland has the worst bullpen rating (-27) in MLB. The Athletics are 33-83 as a dog, 24-60 against righties and 15-43 on the road, the worst road record in MLB. Oakland is also 3-16 on Sundays, worst in MLB. Waldichuk has a 7.84 ERA on the road (compared to 4.60 at home).
2:10 p.m. ET: Milwaukee Brewers (-135, 8) at Chicago White Sox
The Brewers (64-54) have taken the first two games of this three-game Interleague series, winning the opener 7-6 as -180 road favorites and then winning again yesterday 3-2 as -175 road favorites. In today’s series finale, the Brewers hand the ball to righty Freddy Peralta (8-8, 4.28 ERA) and the White Sox (47-71) counter with fellow righty Dylan Cease (5-5, 4.42 ERA). This line opened with Milwaukee listed as a -120 road favorite and Chicago a +100 home dog. Sharps are taking the Brewers to complete the sweep, steaming Milwaukee up from -120 to -135. The Brewers are receiving 65% of bets and 67% of money, signaling both public and sharp action in their favor. Sweet spot short road favorites -120 to -150 are 170-108 (61%) this season with a 7% ROI. Interleague favorites off a win are 174-103 (63%) with a 4% ROI. The Brewers also have correlative betting value as a favorite in a low total game (8), with the fewer amount of expected runs scored more likely to come from the better team. The Brewers are 5-1 in Peralta’s last six starts. Milwaukee is 37-26 as a favorite, 31-27 on the road and 49-36 against righties. Chicago is 28-53 as a dog, 25-32 at home and 33-55 against righties. Milwaukee also enjoys a far better bullpen ratings (+13 vs -10).
